• My book, Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences (Wiley; Amazon).
• 111th U.S. Congress ideal point estimates (updated daily).
  Senate: PDF, CSV.
  House: PDF, CSV, scatterplot vs Obama vote share.
• Next Australian election, Centrebet prob. of ALP win: 0.76 (2009-11-25, time-series)

This guy wins (WSJ). And he is a sales director at UAL.