• My book: Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences (Wiley; Amazon).
• 111th U.S. Senate ideal point estimates:
  • PDF, CSV last updated February 06 2010
• 111th U.S. House ideal point estimates:
  • PDF, CSV, last updated February 05 2010
  • scatterplot vs Obama vote share PDF SVG
• Next Australian election, Centrebet prob. of ALP win: 0.78 (2010-02-10, time-series)

And unsurprisingly, a fair amount of movement in the betting markets. The Centrebet prices as of this morning (Sydney time) correspond to an 80% chance that Labor wins the next election. That is up from about 68% as recently as late August.