simon jackman's blog » A few good, um, better, polls…

jackman.stanford.edu/blog

Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences Wiley; Amazon; errata as of 4/16/13
113th U.S. Senate
- ideal point estimates pdf csv 5/15/13
- scatterplot against 2012 Obama vote share pdf
- roll call object: RData
113th U.S. House
- ideal point estimates pdf csv 5/17/13
- scatterplot vs Obama vote share pdf svg
- roll call object: RData
2013 Australian Federal Election, betting market summary
Agency ALP Coalition Prob ALP Win (%) Last 7 days
Centrebet 8.50 1.06 11.1
sportsbet 8.00 1.05 11.6
Tom Waterhouse 8.00 1.05 11.6
- time series graphs: entire month week day
- Labor Leader Market pdf

Agency	ALP	Coalition	Prob ALP Win (%)
Centrebet	8.50	1.06	11.1
sportsbet	8.00	1.05	11.6
Tom Waterhouse	8.00	1.05	11.6

Sunday August 26, 2012

Filed under: Australian Politics — jackman @ 9:27 pm

…and some money comes back to Labor. The 3 bookies I follow all have Labor’s odds improving in the last couple of hours:

Yet more evidence of markets following polls…

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