• My book: Bayesian Analysis for the Social Sciences (Wiley; Amazon).
• 111th U.S. Senate ideal point estimates:
  • PDF, CSV last updated February 06 2010
• 111th U.S. House ideal point estimates:
  • PDF, CSV, last updated February 05 2010
  • scatterplot vs Obama vote share PDF SVG
• Next Australian election, Centrebet prob. of ALP win: 0.78 (2010-02-10, time-series)

Turnbull tries to get Swan to step in a pile of dog poo re NAIRU. It doesn’t really matter in a sense, since The Sydney Morning Herald can’t get it right, even in a joke about the obscurity of the term; see the caption on the photo-illustration below, from their web site.

The layoffs at Fairfax are starting to show: Gittens must have been busy when they pushed this to the web.