model{ for(i in 1:85){ ## loop over cable systems logit(theta[i]) <- v[i] v[i] <- alpha[strata[i]] + delta[treatedIndex[i]]*treated[i] r[i] ~ dbin(theta[i],n[i]) } for(j in 1:40){ ## loop over baseline effects alpha[j] ~ dnorm(mu[1],tau[1]) } for(j in 1:42){ ## loop over treatment effects delta[j] ~ dnorm(mu[2],tau[2]) } for(k in 1:2){ ## hyper-parameters mu[k] ~ dnorm(0,.25) tau[k] <- 1/pow(sigma[k],2) sigma[k] ~ dunif(0,2) } ## out of sample prediction for avg system and hypothetical system delta.new ~ dnorm(mu[2],tau[2]) logit(p.new) <- delta.new pvalue[1] <- step(mu[2]) ## Pr(mu[2] > 0) pvalue[2] <- step(delta.new) ## Pr(delta.new > 0) }